Wednesday, September 13, 2006

Some numbers...

Just out of curiosity, I did some searches for the strength of the insurgency in Iraq.

You see, there's a lot of people who want to get really, really tough, and think that people like me don't take the threat seriously enough. I don't realize how dangerous the "islamo-fascists" are. (Please remember how much I despise the use of the word "Islam" in the description of the terrorists. What matters is that they are terrorists, not that they're Muslims.)

The number of people who are willing to do terrible things to us helps determine what course of action is proper... military, or law enforcement-style action. It also helps us measure the threat.

In a country that is occupied by a foreign military, a military responsible for the deaths of tens of thousands of people, the estimated strength of the insurgency is about 20,000, with up to 200,000 sympathizers.

Less than one tenth of one percent - one in a thousand! - are willing to fight us. And you can be sure a much smaller number would feel that way if we hadn't invaded. Less than one percent sympathize with those fighters. It is estimated that 97% of Iraq's population are Muslims.

That means that, for every sympathizer, there are 97 Muslims who aren't sympathizers, and for every fighter, there are 970 who don't fight.

So, figure it out; should we be trying to make the entire nation suffer the horrors of war? Or should we be worried only about the small number of bad guys, and let the remaining 99+% of the country live out their lives in peace?

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